We’re back, essentially, to the same spot we started in this series.
Charone Peake has the size (6-3 200). Peake certainly has the speed also (ran a hand-timed 4.24 40-yard dash last summer).
Now, he has the opportunity – listed atop the depth chart going into his junior season.
He’s averaged a little over 13 snaps per game in two seasons – only 8.4 yards per catch.
2011: 245 snaps – 4 catches – 71 yards – 0 TD
2012: 417 snaps – 25 catches – 172 yards – 2 TDs
1,389 snaps, 1,750 yards, 18 touchdowns – that’s outgoing starting receivers DeAndre Hopkins and Jaron Brown’s numbers last season.
In Chad Morris’ scheme, the snap count is likely only to go up and those numbers will be redistributed somewhere.
With a bevy of options, Clemson gunslinger Tajh Boyd will spread the wealth, but who emerges as No. 2 after No. 2 (Sammy Watkins)? Peake can be that guy.
Projection – Brandon Rink (O&W)
Breakout Season: 58 catches – 930 yards – 11 TDs
Bust: 25 catches – 300 yards – 3 TDs
2013 Outlook: 44 catches – 616 yards – 9 TDs (14 games)
Without a clear No. 1 tight end, Peake has that big target feel that Boyd can find in a crowd downfield. With that in mind, I have his stats very similar to Brandon Ford’s a la 2012 (3 receptions per game, 40 catches, 480 yards, 8 TDs).
His yards per catch numbers are something to watch though, as the aforementioned 8.4 career average doesn’t really fit his skillset. He was used a bunch in the short passing game last season, but didn’t break free all that often (one 20-plus yard catch).
I’m staying conservative with a 14 YPC projection, but with a little more elusiveness, Peake can really rack up the yards.
Projection – Marty Coleman (Seldom Used Reserve)
SUR 2013 Forecast: WR Charone Peake (12 games)
I’m not sure why Peake was used the way he was last season, when the majority of his receptions were within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage, but I’ve got to believe that will change this season with the departure of Hopkins and Brown.
I expect Peake to see as many or more snaps than he combined for in his first two years on campus and used his current snap/catch and touchdown ratio to determine the number of receptions and touchdowns.
Because Peake’s yards per catch were so extraordinarily low, I used a hybrid – 50% his career average and 50% of Jaron Brown’s 2012 season average – to determine the receiving yards and average per catch. Check out the rest of Coleman's analysis here.
More 2013 Forecasts